Golden Globes TV Predictions

I'm hesitant to even try predicting the Globe TV awards this year, because of what an epic fail my first attempt was last time. But what the hell, I guess all you can do is practice in order to get better. Let's brave the waters.

DRAMA SERIES

  • The Affair
  • Downton Abbey
  • Game of Thrones
  • The Good Wife
  • House of Cards

Gulp. Right off the bat it's going to be a blind dart. Well...House of Cards is a prestige show with movie actors in its cast, but The Affair is brand new, sexy, acclaimed and maybe House of Cards is old news now? I do think it's between those two, so I'll just jump in with both feet. The Affair it is.

COMEDY SERIES

  • Girls
  • Jane the Virgin
  • Orange is the New Black
  • Silicon Valley
  • Transparent

I think it's got to be Orange is the New Black here. They didn't get to crown it last time because it wasn't competing in Comedy where it belonged. It's still buzzed about and cool (newness and buzz is practically the most important factor with Globes voters when it comes to TV), so I think it will win this year. Transparent has an outside shot, but slim I'd say.

ACTOR- DRAMA

  • Clive Owen, The Knick
  • Liev Schreiber, Ray Donovan
  • Kevin Spacey, House of Cards
  • James Spader, The Blacklist
  • Dominic West, The Affair

I think it's either Clive Owen or Kevin Spacey, who they haven't awarded yet. Tough. Um- I'm going with Spacey because the show is nominated in Series.

ACTRESS- DRAMA

  • Claire Danes, Homeland
  • Viola Davis, How to Get Away With Murder
  • Julianna Margulies, The Good Wife
  • Ruth Wilson, The Affair
  • Robin Wright, House of Cards

Well, Wright won last year, so she's out. It's either Davis or Wilson, and if they like The Affair, which it seems they do (three nominations) they usually go with the star of the new series, so I'm going to say Wilson takes this. They love to crown newbies.

ACTOR- COMEDY

  • Louis C.K., Louie
  • Don Cheadle, House of Lies
  • Ricky Gervais, Derek
  • William H. Macy, Shameless
  • Jeffrey Tambor, Transparent

I really think Tambor has this one in the bag, but Gervais does have a shot as an old Globes favorite. They may just vote for him to see him on stage. Still, I think the popularity of Tambor's show will carry him to the win.

ACTRESS- COMEDY

  • Lena Dunham, Girls
  • Edie Falco, Nurse Jackie
  • Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Veep
  • Gina Rodriguez, Jane the Virgin
  • Taylor Schilling, Orange is the New Black

This is probably Schilling or Rodriguez, based on the fact that their shows got into Series too. I'm going to say Rodriguez will take it in a surprise upset (it's happened before with people who were on younger skewing shows- think back to Keri Russell, Claire Danes, Jennifer Garner, and America Ferrera).

ACTOR- MOVIE/MINISERIES

  • Martin Freeman, Fargo
  • Woody Harrelson, True Detective
  • Matthew McConaughey, True Detective
  • Mark Ruffalo, The Normal Heart
  • Billy Bob Thornton, Fargo

Ok, so I assume this is McConaughey unless they want to buck the trend for some reason. But they won't- a pretty good rule of thumb in the TV Movie/Mini categories is that the movie stars almost always win.

ACTRESS- MOVIE/MINISERIES

  • Maggie Gyllenhaal, The Honourable Woman
  • Jessica Lange, American Horror Story: Freak Show
  • Frances McDormand, Olive Kitteridge
  • Frances O'Connor- The Missing
  • Allison Tolman, Fargo

McDormand, based on the rule (and Lange's already won). Although, if they really did watch The Missing, Frances O'Connor stands a chance here.

SUPPORTING ACTOR

  • Matt Bomer, The Normal Heart
  • Alan Cumming, The Good Wife
  • Colin Hanks, Fargo
  • Bill Murray, Olive Kitteridge
  • Jon Voight, Ray Donovan

Bill Murray, per the rule and also because they want to see him on stage. Who doesn't want a Bill Murray acceptance speech at their awards show? If they actually watched this stuff, Matt Bomer should win, but don't count on it.

SUPPORTING ACTRESS

  • Uzo Aduba, Orange is the New Black
  • Kathy Bates, American Horror Story: Freak Show
  • Joanne Froggatt, Downton Abbey
  • Allison Janney, Mom
  • Michelle Monaghan, True Detective

Based on the rule, who do you think it is? Kathy Bates, right? Me too.

MINISERIES OR TV MOVIE

  • Fargo
  • The Missing
  • The Normal Heart
  • Olive Kitteridge
  • True Detective

Heh. Boy is this category epic. I wonder if the HFPA even realizes what a stack of riches they have here. Any one of these would be a great winner, but...I guess True Detective? The buzz and all? Part of me wonders if The Missing could pull this out- that was a BBC show and every once in a while the foreign press is watching a more international series and throws a curve ball based on the actual quality of something (the original BBC Office won years ago when hardly anyone here in the U.S. had even heard of it). And then there's Fargo, which they clearly liked and may not want to go home trophy-less. Hmm...I think I'm going with Fargo, based on the spread the wealth rationale. Well, I'll be watching these with several face palms ready, no doubt. Come back for the winners on Sunday night!